Increasing droughts are affecting how natural ecosystems function. In tropical savannas, the immediate impacts of drought are well known, but we know less about how droughts change plant communities and ecosystem functions in the long run.

In a study published in Ecology Letters, researchers from Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden (XTBG) of the Chinese Academy of Sciences reveal that extreme droughts trigger long-lasting shifts in savanna vegetation, leading to complex and divergent effects on carbon storage, water cycles, and surface energy balance.

The research was carried out in a tropical savanna in Southwest China. It found that although the ecosystem regained its ability to absorb carbon relatively quickly after drought, its capacity to reflect sunlight and release water vapor remained reduced for years. This combination could worsen local warming.

Using data collected between 2017 and 2022 from an eddy covariance flux tower site in the hot-dry valley savannas of Yunnan, the researchers investigated the long-term impacts of a severe drought in 2019. They tracked changes in plant types, carbon dioxide (CO2)exchange, surface reflectivity (albedo), and water evaporation.

They observed a significant shift in plant types. Over three years, the number of shrubs fell by about half, while trees declined only 12%. As shrubs disappeared, more dark soil and rock were exposed, reducing the land’s ability to reflect sunlight and increasing heat absorption.

Furthermore, they found that the drought impacts on energy balance and water cycling last longer than those on carbon uptake. The ecosystem’s photosynthesis rate, which measures carbon uptake, recovered within a year after the drought. In contrast, surface reflectivity and water evaporation stayed lower than pre-drought levels for at least four years. Deep-rooted, drought-tolerant trees became more common, while shallow-rooted shrubs suffered most.

“As droughts become more frequent and intense, more vegetation shifts may occur across savannas. This could create a feedback loop: drought changes the ecosystem, which then adds to regional warming and alters local climate patterns. It’s thus very important to include the long-term physical and biological effects, not just carbon,in climate models and conservation planning,” said SONG Qinghai of XTBG.

Savanna vegetation in Yuanjiang, Yunnan. (Image by SONG Qinghai)

An eddy covariance flux tower site in the hot-dry valley savannas of Yunnan. (Image by SONG Qinghai)

First published: 26 January 2026